As the Wall Street Journal reported in June, wealthier shoppers are turning to discount stores amid still-high inflation and rising interest rates. HundredX turned to “The Crowd” of discount shoppers to find that, indeed, Americans making more than $100,000 annually are the most loyal in their intent to keep shopping at discount stores despite their recent price increases. By introducing new grocery options, like fresh produce, some dollar stores are succeeding in drawing in wealthier customers. 


Analyzing more than 1.1 million pieces of customer feedback across the retail sector, July 2022 through July 2023, including 80,000 from 7 discount stores, we find:


Key Takeaways

  • Focusing on segments of retail that sell staples, Purchase Intent¹,² has been most resilient for discount stores and e-commerce this year. Purchase intent fell less for those sectors (1%) in the last three months than it did for grocery and superstores (2%).
  • We believe the 1% slip is likely due to recent price hikes by discount stores looking to increase profits amid higher wholesale and material costs. Net favorability³ toward Price fell 3% for discount stores since April, more than other retail industries selling similar items.
  • While Purchase Intent dipped for low- and middle-income discount store customers, it stayed relatively steady for the highest-income customers (households making $100K+/year) over the past three months. By contrast, it fell with the highest income customers for e-commerce, grocery, and superstores in the last three months.
  • Contrary to the industry, Family Dollar (owned by Dollar Tree), is gaining in Purchase Intent among lower-income customers, up 5% from April. The jump corresponds to management efforts to keep prices low at the store.
  • By contrast, Dollar General is up the most for high-income earners (+2%) over the past three months. The increase comes as the store introduces new fresh grocery options.

Discover HundredX insights into Discount Store Trends:

  • Slide title

    Write your caption here
    Button
  • Slide title

    Purchase Intent fell less for discount stores and e-commerce (1%) over the past three months than it did for grocery and superstores (2%)

    Button
  • Slide title

    Discount stores slipped 3% over the past three months on net favorability toward Price, more than other retail areas selling similar products. Still, discount stores are up the most over the past year (6%). 

    Button
  • Slide title

    It appears discount stores are investing in selection to support increasing prices. Over the past six months, net favorability toward Selection grew 3% for discount stores. It remained stable for e-commerce and superstores and grew 1% for grocery. 


    Button
  • Slide title

    Over the past three months, Purchase Intent for customers making less than $50K a year has fallen rapidly for grocery (-4%) and superstores (-2%). It fell much less (-1%) for discount stores and remained stable for e-commerce. 

    Button
  • Slide title

    E-commerce was again the most resilient among middle-income customers, while grocery was the weakest. Purchase Intent for e-commerce remained stable over the past three months but dropped 1% for discount stores and superstores. It fell 2% for grocery.

    Button
  • Slide title

    While the future growth outlook dipped for low- and middle-income discount store customers, it stayed relatively steady for high-income customers over the past three months. Purchase Intent for that income group (those making over $100K/year) fell 2% for e-commerce, grocery, and superstores. 

    Button
  • Slide title

    Out of the major U.S. discount stores, only Family Dollar grew in Purchase Intent (+1%) over the past three months, putting it above Big Lots. It slipped slightly for every other store. Family Dollar is also up (+1%) for the year, alongside parent company Dollar Tree (+2%) and Ollie’s Bargain Outlets (+2%).


    Button
  • Slide title

    Family Dollar’s Purchase Intent boost is largely driven by lower-income families. Family Dollar Purchase Intent for customers making under $50K-per-year is up 5% over the past three months, far more than any of its competitors. 

    Button
  • Slide title

    Family Dollar’s jump with lower-income customers is related to its prices. Over the past three months, net favorability toward Price sunk 2%-5% for all the major discount stores, except for Family Dollar, which rose 2%. Over the last several months, Family Dollar has focused on keeping its prices low at the expense of profits at a time when many competitors have been boosting prices to keep up with higher wholesale costs. 

    Button
  • Slide title

    Among high-income customers, however, Dollar General’s Purchase Intent among high-income customers is up the most compared to its rivals in recent months. Dollar General has been expanding its grocery items through its private label Clover Valley brand and its DG Fresh initiative, which offers fresh produce across its stores. 

    Button
  • Slide title

    Dollar General’s new products are appreciated by customers. Dollar General’s net favorability toward Selection grew significantly over the past six months (+5%), far more than any other stores except Family Dollar (+4%). 

    Button

Please contact our team for a deeper look at HundredX's discount stores data, which includes 170,000 pieces of customer feedback across over 7 discount store brands. 


  1. All metrics presented, including Net Purchase (Purchase Intent) and Net Positive Percent / Favorability, are presented on a trailing three-month basis unless otherwise noted.
  2. Purchase Intent represents the percentage of customers who expect to spend more with that chain over the next 12 months, minus those that intend to spend less. We find businesses that see Purchase Intent trends gain versus the industry or peers have often seen revenue growth rates, margins, and/or market share also improve versus peers.
  3. HundredX measures Net Favorability towards a driver of customer satisfaction as Net Positive Percent (NPP), which is the percentage of customers who view a factor as a positive (reason they liked the products, people, or experiences) minus the percentage who see the same factor as a negative.


Strategy Made Smarter


HundredX works with a variety of companies and their investors to answer some of the most important strategy questions in business:

  • Where are customers "migrating"?
  • What are they saying they will use more of in the next 12 months?
  • What are the key drivers of their purchase decisions and financial outcomes?


Current clients see immediate benefits across multiple areas including strategy, finance, operations, pricing, investing, and marketing.


Our insights enable business leaders to define and identify specific drivers and decisions enabling them to grow their market share.


Please contact our team to learn more about which businesses across 75 industries are best positioned with customers and the decisions you can make to grow your brand’s market share.

####


HundredX is a mission-based data and insights provider. HundredX does not make investment recommendations. However, we believe in the wisdom of the crowd to inform the outlook for businesses and industries. For more info on specific drivers of customer satisfaction, other companies within 75+ other industries we cover, or if you'd like to learn more about using Data for Good, please reach out: https://hundredx.com/contact.

Share This Article

06 May, 2024
Sure, lattes, mochaccinos, and cappuccinos are pricey, but they taste delicious. For many consumers, the great taste of coffee shop coffee made it worth the cost. But customers at Starbucks aren't so sure the tradeoff is worth it anymore. Examining more than 420,000 pieces of feedback across the Quick, Fast, Casual (QFC) industry, including over 21,000 on Starbucks, we find: Starbuck's Purchase Intent 1,2 is down 3% over the past six months, with most of that dip occurring over the past few months. By contrast, Dunkin' Donuts has remained within a tight range over the past six months, as did an average of other, smaller coffee chains. Customers increasingly see less value in Starbucks. Starbuck's Value perception 3 fell 5% over the past six months, compared to just 1% for Dunkin' Donuts. However, it also fell 5% for the average of the smaller coffee chains. Coffee drinkers feel significantly unhappier about Starbuck's quality and taste. Starbuck's Taste perception fell 4% over the past six months, while rising 1% for competitors. Likewise, its Quality perception dipped 3% over the same time period (and 8% over the year). Ultimately, Starbuck's perceived drop in taste is leading inflation-weary consumers to say they plan to spend less at the coffee chain, as the value just isn't as good.
06 May, 2024
Forbes Best Brands for Social Impact, Powered by HundredX
06 May, 2024
Ozempic once dominated the headlines, but GLP-1 competitor Mounjaro is winning over customers. GLP-1 drugs, used for treating diabetes and aiding in weight loss, are relatively new on the market yet have surged in popularity over the last year. They're becoming so popular that J.P. Morgan estimates that 30 million people in the US may be using a GLP-1 drug by 2030. This statistic presents a significant potential for early drug creator Novo Nordisk (Ozempic, Wegovy), and perhaps an even bigger one for Eli Lilly (Mounjaro, Zepbound). HundredX data indicates Eli Lilly is in a position to win over Novo Nordisk as Mounjaro's Usage Intent widens against the competition. Ozempic may have name recognition, but customers feel more positively about Mounjaro's effectiveness and lifestyle impact, even if they aren't excited about its high price. Examining 1,500 pieces of customer feedback across Mounjaro, Ozempic, and Wegovy, we find: GLP-1 users increasingly say they plan to use Mounjaro more, and Ozempic less . Mounjaro’s Usage Intent is up 19% since July, Wegovy’s is up 3%, and Ozempic has stayed within a tight range. Customers feel Mounjaro is more effective than competing drugs, but it’s harder to get . Mounjaro outperforms other GLP-1 drugs in effectiveness, lifestyle impact, and side effects. However, customers dislike its cost and availably more than competitors.
Share by: